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A mathematician unpacks the science of “bracketology”

Posted on March 21, 2025

madness3 1152x648 1742480217

March Madness is once again on us when the NCAA basketball tournament started fully: 68 teams are competing in a match -up series until only one champion stands. Millions of sports fans participate by creating their bracket predictions. The challenge is that there are many variables and potential consequences, it is almost impossible to form a perfect bracket, calling each match up results correctly. Online advice, from amateur enthusiasts to professional sports analysts in media giants. (CBS Sports Lines Bracket projection modelFor example, every game in the tournament imitates 10,000 times to improve the accuracy of their predictions.)

But what if you are just looking for an office pool, or do you not want to follow the seeds or predictions of these wide models? Can anyone use any easy strategy to get edge in a crowded field? Albert Cohen of Michigan State University, who specializes in statistics and acreage science, including sports analtics, is not a gambler. (Someone who talks about gambling is at risk rather than “seeing a dangerous life”.) But with some simple general indicators, he offered some insights about the science of “bracology”.

ARS Technica: There are many different potential brackets. What are the real difficulties of someone who choose the perfect?

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