“Global warming is sharp in the Paul, and the snow is melting and it is different in the oceans and the continents,” said Franda.
He said that as a global warming jar climate samples, it affects the jet streams.
“Williams, the University of Reading Scientists,” was the first person to understand that if the jet stream is affected, there is a riot in the jet stream, and that is why flight work is affected, “said Faranda.
In his EGU presentation, Williams said that the vertical wind must be seen because the signal is stronger in the data than the noise.
“Why do we care for a strong wind share?” The data shows that the air riots have increased by 55 % since the 1970s, he said, showing a picture of a ground jet.
Climate models suggest that, under the most realistic scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, “a hotspot will continue to rise in the tropical upper trophospheric, which means that even stronger medium temperature temperature is temperature.”
In the upper troposphere, this hotspot is a high -speed hot area, resulting in partial water vapor feedbacks, as moist, hot air goes away from tropical oceans. This heat bulge is increasing temperature temperatures in areas near some of the busiest flight routes, including translantic routes.
If warming continues rapidly, Williams said, studies show that vertical wind scissors may increase to 2100 %, or if the global emission goes half by mid -century and falls down.
“Of course. This means a lot of turmoil in many years from now on.”
Franda added that research on his own experiences and clear air turmoil will not stop him from flying. He added that more awareness of the new measurement and the possibility of such riots through seasonal devices will help to protect most of the flights, and the wing design and changes in the construction of the aircraft can be less risk.
“In principle, in most cases, you can fly in these areas without any result,” said Franda. But with more severe and repeated turmoil, it is important to maintain observation programs.
“With the new global political situation, there is a lot of talk about reducing equipment to monitor the weather and climate, and this will create poor weather predictions,” he said. And the possibility of low weather observations will lead to shaky flights.
This story originally appeared Within the news of the climate.